On December 8th, Simon & Schuster announced a new strategy that would place ebooks between hardcover and paperback in their sequencing of book releases, delaying ebook availability by 4 months. Yesterday, in an email exchange with eBookNewser, Simon & Schuster vice president of corporate communications Adam Rothberg indicated that this was not necessarily a done deal, saying, “It is certainly a possibility that we will move to this as policy. We will know more after we have had a chance to study data and evaluate the effect of the sequencing.” eBookNewser included a further clarification which was attributed to Rothberg: "We believe this publishing sequence will benefit the performance of all the different formats in which these titles are published, and in the long term will contribute to a healthier retail environment for the greater book buying public."
This has to be one of the most ridiculous corporate moves I have seen in a while, and there have been many (remember the corporate jet hoo-ha in the auto industry congressional hearings? Well, maybe this isn’t quite that bad … but still.).
The publishing industry took forever to grasp the concept of print on demand as part of the book life cycle, but now, due to the efforts of companies such as Lightning Source and others, publishers are realizing the value of print on demand and understanding where it fits in the book life cycle. In the conventional book publishing process, there is 40% waste in the supply chain. That is untenable in today’s world. Print on demand certainly helps eliminate a great deal of that waste. There is NO waste in the ebook cycle. Publishers seem to be looking at the top line, not the bottom line. Once an ebook is set up for publication, each additional copy sold carries little overhead. There is no shipping, no cost of returns, no remaindering. Sure, on the surface, selling a book for $9.99 versus the hardcopy price of $27.95 or more seems like a dramatic drop, but let’s get a grip here. With 40% waste in the conventional supply chain, you have already taken more than $11 off of the top line if you look at the supply chain holistically. Add to that the cost of printing and shipping the books, and $9.99 for an ebook sounds like a pretty good deal to me.
But more importantly, where is the consumer in this decision process? I love my Kindle and read just about everything on it now. There will always be others that prefer the printed version, whether hardcopy or paperback, and the printing industry thanks them. Me, I’m just going to preorder that next Jodi Picoult book for my Kindle and wait. The world will not end if I don’t read it right away. And what has Simon & Schuster accomplished? They have delayed cash flow and annoyed a lot of readers.
Another blogger pointed out that especially for nonfiction books, ebook first should be an option. It takes a MINIMUM of 6 months to get a printed book into the supply chain, and those rush publications carry a heavy cost. Six months is a long time in today’s world. There are many nonfiction books—and their readers—that could benefit from an ebook first strategy. For example, I was able to get Bob Garfield’s The Chaos Scenario for my Kindle more than a week prior to it being available in print. And he has been a genius with his marketing strategy. Take a look at the book’s site. My bet is he will sell a lot more paper books through this strategy than he would have using the conventional process, and this is an important book!
Simon & Schuster, I wish you luck with this strategy. It won’t work in the end and is likely to cost you a lot of good will. Be sure to include the readers in your market research. After all, without them, you have nothing. Perhaps an analysis of what happened in the music industry would be another good add to the research process. Oh, and don’t forget about newspapers and magazines. They didn’t pay enough attention to marketplace trends, and look where they are now. Seems to me that the whole sequencing strategy is old world and should be abandoned anyway. But that’s just me.
Discussion
By Patrick Berger on Dec 11, 2009
Has there been any published studies with Blue Ray and DVD movies coming out before showing in theatres?
Do you think this would be a similar scenario?
By Michael Jahn on Dec 11, 2009
I would normally post "here here, right on sista !" but I would like to take the contrainian stance.
If Amazon, Target and Walmart ONLY had my new hard cover novel to sell - at 35 bucks a pop - why on earth would the author or the publisher release an eBook or the paperback version UNTIL SALES STARTED SLIPPING - which probably is like, what, 4 months? Not sure, but itsure seem to me that I would prefer to sell as many at $35 before I had to drop the price - especially if I were Stephenie Meyer.
By Cary Sherburne on Dec 11, 2009
Michael, of course you would. But somehow I don't think the world works that way anymore. Ask the record companies. As Patrick Berger suggests, ask the movie studios. Users want content when and how they want it. 45% of Amazon sales where Kindle is available are Kindle. Sure says a lot to me. I had a boss once who always said, "A skinny deal is better than no deal." There are limits, but in the end, I think it will prove out that simultaneous release, or even prerelease on ebook, will be come the standard.
By Michael Jahn on Dec 11, 2009
@ Cary - well, I will not bother to ask the record companies, as they really have no dog in that fight - NONE of my kids have purchased a physical CD for nearly two years, as all of them have no method to play them - they all use iPods.
BUT - ALL of them still like to go to movie theaters, and all still buy and read physical books. I don't - I have a Kindle. But I sure did spend a lot of money on TextBooks, and wished that some of them were available on the Knidle (they were not).
This is not a 'skinny deal or no deal' scenario. There are still brick and mortar stores.
I think we are 5 years away from a world where a best selling author will release an eBook before the hardcover version.
Please do not think that I like that idea, as I have no use whatsoever for physical books.
By Dennis K. Biby on Dec 11, 2009
Michael Jahn wrote: "at 35 bucks a pop – why on earth would the author or the publisher release an eBook or the paperback version UNTIL SALES STARTED SLIPPING"
Good point, but I wonder if the fundamental problem is author royalties. Clearly, the distribution costs of paper-based books are far far higher than e-books. Why not structure royalties by distribution method?
Hardcovers could follow the traditional model based upon a $25+ price. However if authors received say a 30% or 40% royalty on a $9.99 e-book it would be comparable to the royalty for the higher priced hardcover.
And, it would seem there is still plenty of margin for the publisher - most of which would be used for marketing and profit rather than inefficient distribution.
By Marshall Huwe on Dec 11, 2009
I totally agree - it is crazy and looks like they are clueless about what is happening in world. Let's face it, book are going digital. I know, I know, I love physical books too. I have a large personal library with shelves of book. However, I also love digital books. I read a ton of books using iKindle on my iPhone and B&N's eReader, and Stanza, etc. It is always with me and so very convenient. To limit yourself to just physical because you think you can get a higher price for a brief period of time is very short-sited. I think Seth Godin has the right idea! http://sethgodin.typepad.com/seths_blog/2009/12/the-magic-of-dynamic-pricing.html
I know that there are certain authors that I would definitely pay more for the eBook if I could get it sooner and there are a lot of authors that I would be willing to "explore" if there was an ebook option at a reduced rate.
Seems to me that authors and publishers should be excited to get their wares out in as many formats and venues as possible.
That's my two cents.
MH
By Bruce Anderson on Dec 11, 2009
"In the conventional book publishing process, there is 40% waste in the supply chain." As a book retailer, I presume that you are referencing our role as being "waste".
I just spent a half an hour helping a family select the most appropriate Bibles for their kid's use. They told me that they were looking on-line, but decided to visit my physical store...so they could be better informed: holding, touching and seeing the Bible before they purchased.
Physical stores will probably go away in the near future, but when they do, much customer care will be lost.
By Cary Sherburne on Dec 12, 2009
Hear, hear! But are the publishers listening? My guess is not ... they will be forced in the end. Too bad they can't adjust to the new market realities a little more quickly--and voluntarily
By CJ on Dec 12, 2009
I 100% agree with you. I think it's ridiculous that publishers expect e-reader owners to flock back to hardcovers simply because of delays. Stephen King's latest is a great example - there was no way I was going to lug around that huge, 1,000+ page book instead of waiting a month and a half to get it on my Kindle. The drawbacks of carrying around a heavier book far outweigh the benefit of being able to read it sooner.
By Michael J on Dec 12, 2009
Interesting conversation.. My two cents.
"It takes a MINIMUM of 6 months to get a printed book into the supply chain,"
But we can print it in a couple of days. So how stupid is 6 months in a supply chain. Taking friction out of logistics is the value creator in a network society. That's Amazon's secret sauce. If you pull carbon intensive, very expensive legacy logistics out you can maintain or even increase overall margins while selling at a lower cost.
"“at 35 bucks a pop – why on earth would the author or the publisher release an eBook or the paperback version "
$35 per book is a list price. Just like college tuition is a list price. The recent price war between Amazon and WalMart demonstrated that books can be loss leaders. I think they were selling best sellers for something like $9. No doubt they both figured that the discount would be put into the cost of sale column balanced against the lifetime value of the customer.
The person who gets this best is Seth Godin.
If you're interested the link will take you to the first of a 3 part video of Godin talking to the publishing industry. http://ilnk.me/e9c
By Eddy Hagen (VIGC) on Dec 13, 2009
From a certain business point of view, it might seem logic to first launch the expensive (hard cover) version, for the afficionados who are willing to pay any amount of money to be the first to read a certain book, and then go to 'cheaper' versions (soft cover, e-book) for the average man and woman. BUT: e-books are aiming just at that market segment of the afficionados who read tons of books a year. Making the move of Simon & Schuster at least a bit odd (although good for the printing industry).
Michael J is right on the 6 months time to get a book into a shop. We only need to print, bind and ship it, after the prepress work is done (which we also need to get the e-book out). So why do we need an extra 6 months??? If publishers, printers do need those 6 months, they need to examine their workflows.
And although I'm younger than Carry and Michael Jahn, I prefer paper books. I have tested the Kindle and the Sony e-reader, but I'm not convinced (yet). I still prefer books on paper. And each morning I go out to the newspaper shop to get my newspaper.
By Michael J on Dec 13, 2009
I'm also an "old guy' retired baby boomer. When I have time there's no better way to read then hardcover paper. Sometimes paperback. When I'm waiting for the subway there is no better way I've found to read than Kindle. When I have time ( these days I'm blessed with a surplus of time) and I see a book that sounds really interesting, nothing beats Kindle. I read review, 2 minutes later I'm scanning the book.
It's not about generations. It's about how much time is available to get the pleasure of reading.
Meanwhile, here's why I think the publishers are so dumb. Consider the marginal costs involved with e version. From what I can figure out it's zero. So even if they "sell" the eversion for 9.99 after all is said and done they can probably net $6. That's $6 straight to the bottom line.
It takes about 100,000 hard cover copies to get on the NYTimes bestseller list. That's one of the reasons the policital junk can go straight to the best seller list. The organizations buy 50,000 for say $300,000. In the world of political campaigns it's really cheap advertising.
What's the net net on a hardcover? My guess is about $8 plus a huge overhead staff to keep track do PR etc etc etc.
Meanwhile it's well established that the best way to sell a book is by word of mouth. The publishers could add the cost of "social media" to the bottom line of e copies and probably make more bottom line money than they make the other way.
Maybe I've got something wrong with the numbers. But if I don't the publishers are shooting themselves in the foot. The blind leading the blind.
By Cary Sherburne on Dec 13, 2009
don't forget that just because a book is printed, does not mean it is sold. An ebook downloaded is sold. Returns and remainders are a huge cost to the industry and the environment. Print on demand is beginning to help with that, but still ... The model is broken and they are trying to shore up a broken model.
By Michael J on Dec 13, 2009
Cary,
What I can't figure out is why? From any rational business angle the new model is better.
The only thing I can figure out is that they don't want to face the fact that there is too much people overhead. Nobody likes to fire people.
I don't really buy the fact that people as smart as S&S don't get it. There has to be some reason they are in denial.
By Alberto on Dec 14, 2009
The publishers are scared that a name author will strike a deal with Amazon and go direct to the reader. They understand that with the new model an author with a following does not need them. Fear is what drives them.
By Bryan Yeager on Dec 14, 2009
Interesting discussion and poignant bringing up and making comparisons to the recording industry. Eddy brings up an interesting concept of releasing a first-edition hard cover book to die-hard readers (or perhaps fans of an author) and having a release of an eBook to the masses. Maybe this concept isn't so far-fetched.
Even as CD sales plummet for the recording industry, there http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qn4181/is_20060128/ai_n16037448/" rel="nofollow">have http://www.wired.com/entertainment/music/commentary/listeningpost/2007/10/listeningpost_1029" rel="nofollow">been http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1702369,00.html" rel="nofollow">numerous http://media.www.thejambar.com/media/storage/paper324/news/2009/02/17/Section/Value.In.An.Artful.Sleeve.a.Look.At.The.Resurgence.Of.Vinyl.Records-3633743.shtml" rel="nofollow">stories over the past few years discussing the resurgence of vinyl records. This is no surprise to those who have been collecting vinyl for years (myself included). Why? Larger-format packaging and the warm sound that can't be replicated through digital playback are contributing factors. However, much of the vinyl released by artists today is presented as limited edition (including limited pressing runs, special packaging, and heavyweight/colored wax).
Vinyl has moved from a mass market medium to a collectors item. Is it that far-fetched that printed books could eventually go the same way on a large scale? My own hypothesis is that there is not nearly enough adoption and accessibility of advanced reading technologies to make this happen for some time. Everything is moving at a rapid pace, however, and "some time" is inching closer and closer.
By Michael J on Dec 14, 2009
Great thought. To me it makes so much sense even now. No need to wait for "some time." Fans will pay for the object. Consider the lines forming around Harry Potter.
So if publishers made the hardcovers available only to fans it would only increase their value to them and they would be happy to pay top dollar for the experience of being a fan.
The conversation might be "I was on the follower list or facebook site as a fan so I got my copy three weeks before everyone else. You want to read it? Get the e version."
By Adam Dewitz on Dec 14, 2009
This is an interesting tidbit regarding Random House and eBook distribution rights
From the WSJ: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704121504574594113096154756.html" rel="nofollow">Random House Lays Claim to E-Book Rights
"Random House, moving to stake its claim in one of the few fast-growing areas of book publishing, sent a letter to literary agents saying it owns the digital rights to books it published before the emergence of an active marketplace for electronic books.
In the letter, dated Dec. 11, Markus Dohle, chief executive of the publishing arm of Bertelsmann AG, wrote that the "vast majority of our backlist contracts grant us the exclusive right to publish books in electronic formats." He added that many of Random House's older agreements granted it the exclusive right to publish a work "in book form" or "in any and all editions."
By Cary Sherburne on Dec 14, 2009
Alberto, of course fear drives them. It will be interesting to see which known author jumps ship first and goes direct. Amazon, through Book Surge and Lightning Source, certainly has the capability to produce books in all three formats simultaneously and to order ...
For authors that are not well known, publishers offer a valuable service--if the author can even get their attention in the first place. Part of the 6-month lag time to get a book to market is the beaurocratic nature of the conventional publishing process wherein the publisher, not the author, is the arbiter of the content.
By Michael J on Dec 14, 2009
Cary, I have to agree that it's fear. Given the amount of flailing around I would say it's probably much closer to blinding panic.
Just another to keep on the radar is that I believe that Amazon got a patent recently for contextually accurate advertising in books based on the content of the book.
Although the buzz is about ebooks, there is no reason it couldn't also apply to physical books.
Even more interesting is that, if I remember correctly, the chief engineer who got the Amazon patent is now at Google.
Imagine an advertiser being able to find a reader - at a particular page of a book - with some kind of every unobtrusive ad. Perhaps a QR code.
I can easily see a place of free to the reader books of all sorts supported by ads. Good news for authors and printers. Ok for the publishers who are experts at finding just the right book for just the right audience.
I'm afraid the rest of them are toast.
By Michael J on Dec 14, 2009
I just picked this up on twitter and thought it was germane to the conversation:
DrGreg309
Seth Godin is at it again with a new free ebook What Matters Now http://ow.ly/LYmm
By Bryan Yeager on Dec 15, 2009
Article on NYTimes.com about Stephen Covey ("7 Habits" author) signing an exclusive e-book distribution deal with RosettaBooks and Amazon.com: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/15/technology/companies/15amazon.html?nl=technology&emc=techupdateema1
Pertinent because Covey's print books are published and distributed by Simon & Schuster.
A sign of things to come?
By Michael J on Dec 16, 2009
Interesting follow up to conversation..It seems Zappos (which has massive presence on twitter and other social media & now a division of Amazon) has picked up on building the buzz for Seth Godins free e-book.
From twitter:
zappos Inspirational! Free ebook "What Matters Now" - organized by Seth Godin - http://bit.ly/8IgE9u
By Michael J on Dec 16, 2009
And today I get the email from Seth's blog that says...
Save the date: January 15 in New York for the book launch
I'm doing a live presentation on the morning of January 15th in New York. The low price for general admission is basically the retail price of the new book, and we're giving ticket buyers a copy of the book as well.
Arrive as early as 9:20 am to get your ticket checked, doors open at 9:30, we start at 9:45 sharp.
Hope to see you there. Tix are limited (and there are a few VIP tickets as well, which also include a small Q&A session after).
So, instead of going on a book tour and the TV circuit, he releases it free on ebook. Gets Zappo's to use their brand to give their followers something of value. Then sells books at the launch and calls it "admission" to the launch party.
By Michael J on Dec 18, 2009
Another interesting tweet about ebooks. from Huffington Post...
eBook Sales Skyrocket, Book Sales Up In General http://ilnk.me/ff6
By Cary Sherburne on Dec 21, 2009
Bruce, I think book retailers serve a very important role, and I have spent many hours perusing the shelves of both independents and chains. The 40% waste is more related to the publishers' inability to exactly forecast the number of books they will need over a certain period of time (how could they?) and the number of books that get shipped back and forth before being remaindered, destroyed or ending up on the discount tables, and then maybe destroyed in the end. There are so many tools now publishers can use to offset that waste, including print on demand (off-site and on-site with products like Espresso) and ebooks. You might find this article from the CEO of Ingram Content Group an interesting read. http://tinyurl.com/yz2sow9 God bless you for the time and attention you give your customers. I am sure they appreciate it. For people like me who travel a lot and don't have easy access to good book stores (I live in a Spanish speaking country and English books are hard to come by here), the Kindle is terrific. But I also have a huge library of printed books, many of which I have had for years and which I treasure. My point was that publishers are fighting a losing battle if they think they can control ebook releases in that way. In the end, the consumer will win ... whether they choose to purchase from your store or download to an ebook--or both.
By Gordon W Stanley on Jan 14, 2010
With actions like S&S latest, they will soon become just a printer instead of a publisher. Look at the comments and consider the growth of independent music artists and think about all the new creativity that is coming about. I will be the first in line to buy books from those selling e-books first, and thinking about the iTunes model, I am also looking for serialized books selling chapter by chapter. There is a lot of room for innovation and I don't think the questions is hardback v. paper v. ebook. I think there are even more disruptive technologies that will come into play before the publishing industry settles down. Big publishers better pay attention or they will face the same declines as the music publishers and newspapers.
By Michael J on Jan 15, 2010
Gordon,
Regarding disruptive technologies..Yesterday It was announced that Xerox has already started selling the Espresso Book Machine and has a global distribution deal in place.
I have a feeling that might turn out to be as disruptive as the Docutech back in the 90's.
Discussion
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