WhatTheyThink

Premium Commentary & Analysis

October Summary of Leading Indicators

Going into October,

Sunday, October 13, 2002

Going into October, here is your monthly summary of key industry indicators. - September Printer Confidence Index - for the first time in three months, there was an increase in print providers indicating their local market conditions are starting or continuing to improve. - September Print Buyer Pulse Index - six month outlook declined slightly with 30.1% of print customers expecting print spending to increase over the next 6 months. - The PIB Advertising Index - total magazine advertising revenue for the month of September increased 9.2% compared to September 2001. - The Purchasing Managers Index - economic activity in the manufacturing sector declined in September after seven consecutive months of growth. - The Print Employment Index - based on data from the U.S. Department of Labor showed a sight increase in employment for the printing segment. Total jobs in the sector for September was 1,403,000 versus 1,401,000 in August.* - The Consumer Confidence Index - declined again in September. The Index now stands at 93.3 (1985=100), down from 94.5 in August. Printer Confidence Index: In September, for the first time in three months, there was an increase in print providers (24.4%) indicating their local market conditions are starting or continuing to improve. Despite the improvement in market sentiment, over 40% of print providers categorized their local conditions as starting or continuing to decline. The up-tick in market sentiment is likely due to seasonal increases in demand associated with many fall promotional campaigns. Print Buyer Pulse Index: The September polling indicated that 30.1% of print customers expect their print spending to increase over the next 6 months, a slight decline with the August (34.5%) level, but in line with July (29.7%) and June (31.8%) levels. The steady improvement in print customer 6-month sentiment, which peaked in the April and May polls, appears to have stabilized at a slightly lower level over the last three months. PIB Advertising Index: According to Publishers Information Bureau (PIB), total magazine advertising revenue for the month of September increased 9.2% compared to September 2001, closing at $1,814,401,173. Ad pages for September totaled 24,756.2, up 2.6% from last year. Year-to-date, advertising revenue closed at $11,702,119,564, an increase of 1.5%, and ad pages were 159,635.8, down 6.6% from last year. Purchasing Managers Index: Economic activity in the manufacturing sector declined in September after seven consecutive months of growth. The overall economy grew for the 11th consecutive month, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business. "The PMI has averaged 50.2 percent over the last three months. After a strong first quarter, the manufacturing sector has softened significantly. Stagnant and sluggish are apt descriptions for manufacturing at this time. Much of this month's data, as might be expected when the indexes are at or near the breakeven point, is mixed and lacks a clear trend." Print Employment Index: Both nonfarm payroll employment and the unemployment rate were essentially unchanged in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Job losses in manufacturing and transportation offset gains in finance and health services. The number of unemployed persons (8.1 million) and the unemployment rate (5.6 percent) were essentially unchanged in September. The jobless rates for the major worker groups--adult men (5.2 percent), adult women (4.9 percent), teenagers (15.7 percent), whites (5.1 percent), blacks (9.6 percent), and Hispanics (7.4 percent)--showed no statistically significant change in September. There was a slight increase in employment for the printing segment. Total jobs in the sector for September was 1,401,000 versus 1,403,000 in August. (*Seasonally adjusted, further adjustments may be made.) Consumer Confidence Index: The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index, which had fallen in the last three months, declined again in September. The Index now stands at 93.3 (1985=100), down from 94.5 in August. The Present Situation Index declined to 88.5 from 93.1, while the Expectations Index rose to 96.5 from 95.5. Consumers' assessment of the present situation was mixed. Those rating business conditions as "good" increased from 16.7 percent to 18.2 percent. However, those rating conditions as "bad" also increased, from 21.8 percent to 23.3 percent. Consumers reporting jobs were plentiful declined to 15.9 percent, down from 17.4 percent. Those claiming jobs are hard to get climbed to 25.5 percent, up from 23.8 percent last month.


Continue reading your article
with a WhatTheyThink membership.

WhatTheyThink Annual Membership

Less than $4/week.

Get unlimited access to in-depth commentary and analysis covering the latest trends, emerging technologies, operational strategies, and key events across every segment of today's printing industry.

Stay informed. Stay competitive. Stay ahead.
WhatTheyThink Day Pass

$5 for 24 hours

Unlimited access to all of WhatTheyThink. Get your Day Pass

Already a member?
Sign In

About WhatTheyThink

WhatTheyThink is the global printing industry's go-to information source with both print and digital offerings, including WhatTheyThink.com, WhatTheyThink Email Newsletters, and the WhatTheyThink magazine. Our mission is to inform, educate, and inspire the industry. We provide cogent news and analysis about trends, technologies, operations, and events in all the markets that comprise today's printing and sign industries including commercial, in-plant, mailing, finishing, sign, display, textile, industrial, finishing, labels, packaging, marketing technology, software and workflow.

Recent Articles from WhatTheyThink

Around the Web: Of Books and Bots

Around the Web: Of Books and Bots

New book “Empire of Ink” is a look at the history and mythology of the American newspaper. A hacked smart lightbulb provides access to banned books. A digital archive reassembles Leonardo da Vinci’s long-cut-apart notebooks. Michelangelo’s secret underground hiding place—complete with the artist’s graffiti. Marie Antoinette may have been history’s first influencer. A worn copy of a 1912 pulp magazine featuring Tarzan sold at auction for $58,560. New book, “The Graphene Handbook - Making Sense of Graphene at Its Inflection Point.” Visa is integrating its payment network into ChatGPT, which should be fun. A humanoid robot plans to climb Everest. A designer who specializes in chairs without legs. Did a flying monk see Halley’s Comet…twice? The British geologist whose goal was to eat as many different animals as he possibly could. Welcome to WhatTheyThink’s weekly miscellany. Read More

Publishing Establishments—2010–2023

Publishing Establishments—2010–2023

According to the latest, recently released edition of County Business Patterns, in 2023 there were 32,332 establishments in NAICS 511 (Publishing Industries [except Internet]). This represents an increase of 15% since 2010. In macro news, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index is at record lows. Read More

Finishing: Production Inkjet's Next Frontier

Finishing: Production Inkjet's Next Frontier

As production inkjet has advanced, a new primary factor limiting productivity has emerged: finishing. How are PSPs adapting their investment and automation strategies? New research shows many can gain a competitive advantage by focusing on finishing. Read More

HanGlobal Launches New LabStar 330mini at Flexo & Labels Expo 2026

HanGlobal Launches New LabStar 330mini at Flexo & Labels Expo 2026

Discover HanGlobal's newly launched LabStar 330mini digital label press! Get the full show roundup to see how this ultra-integrated, high-performance inkjet solution captured the crowd's attention and redefined narrow-web printing. Read More

Around the Web: Of Food and Feynman

Around the Web: Of Food and Feynman

A book designer who specializes in spine design. The Chinese postal service is using humanoid robots to sort packages. An amusingly overproduced Day Display. Allen Ginsberg’s spoken-word poetry recitation album is being reissued. The winners of this year’s World Food Photography Awards. A retired geneticist launched the online Museum of Plugs & Sockets. A viral warning about a new gas station scam is actually a hoax. What is the world’s longest domestic flight? Aw, et tu, graphene: Skeleton Technologies launches graphene-based GrapheneUPS for AI data centers. What is the quietest spot in the U.S.? Researchers finally cracked Richard Feynman’s “Restaurant Problem.” Malaysia’s kek lapis Sarawak is perhaps the world’s most complex cake. Welcome to WhatTheyThink’s weekly miscellany. Read More