WhatTheyThink

Premium Commentary & Analysis

October Summary of Leading Indicators

Going into October,

Sunday, October 13, 2002

Going into October, here is your monthly summary of key industry indicators. - September Printer Confidence Index - for the first time in three months, there was an increase in print providers indicating their local market conditions are starting or continuing to improve. - September Print Buyer Pulse Index - six month outlook declined slightly with 30.1% of print customers expecting print spending to increase over the next 6 months. - The PIB Advertising Index - total magazine advertising revenue for the month of September increased 9.2% compared to September 2001. - The Purchasing Managers Index - economic activity in the manufacturing sector declined in September after seven consecutive months of growth. - The Print Employment Index - based on data from the U.S. Department of Labor showed a sight increase in employment for the printing segment. Total jobs in the sector for September was 1,403,000 versus 1,401,000 in August.* - The Consumer Confidence Index - declined again in September. The Index now stands at 93.3 (1985=100), down from 94.5 in August. Printer Confidence Index: In September, for the first time in three months, there was an increase in print providers (24.4%) indicating their local market conditions are starting or continuing to improve. Despite the improvement in market sentiment, over 40% of print providers categorized their local conditions as starting or continuing to decline. The up-tick in market sentiment is likely due to seasonal increases in demand associated with many fall promotional campaigns. Print Buyer Pulse Index: The September polling indicated that 30.1% of print customers expect their print spending to increase over the next 6 months, a slight decline with the August (34.5%) level, but in line with July (29.7%) and June (31.8%) levels. The steady improvement in print customer 6-month sentiment, which peaked in the April and May polls, appears to have stabilized at a slightly lower level over the last three months. PIB Advertising Index: According to Publishers Information Bureau (PIB), total magazine advertising revenue for the month of September increased 9.2% compared to September 2001, closing at $1,814,401,173. Ad pages for September totaled 24,756.2, up 2.6% from last year. Year-to-date, advertising revenue closed at $11,702,119,564, an increase of 1.5%, and ad pages were 159,635.8, down 6.6% from last year. Purchasing Managers Index: Economic activity in the manufacturing sector declined in September after seven consecutive months of growth. The overall economy grew for the 11th consecutive month, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business. "The PMI has averaged 50.2 percent over the last three months. After a strong first quarter, the manufacturing sector has softened significantly. Stagnant and sluggish are apt descriptions for manufacturing at this time. Much of this month's data, as might be expected when the indexes are at or near the breakeven point, is mixed and lacks a clear trend." Print Employment Index: Both nonfarm payroll employment and the unemployment rate were essentially unchanged in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Job losses in manufacturing and transportation offset gains in finance and health services. The number of unemployed persons (8.1 million) and the unemployment rate (5.6 percent) were essentially unchanged in September. The jobless rates for the major worker groups--adult men (5.2 percent), adult women (4.9 percent), teenagers (15.7 percent), whites (5.1 percent), blacks (9.6 percent), and Hispanics (7.4 percent)--showed no statistically significant change in September. There was a slight increase in employment for the printing segment. Total jobs in the sector for September was 1,401,000 versus 1,403,000 in August. (*Seasonally adjusted, further adjustments may be made.) Consumer Confidence Index: The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index, which had fallen in the last three months, declined again in September. The Index now stands at 93.3 (1985=100), down from 94.5 in August. The Present Situation Index declined to 88.5 from 93.1, while the Expectations Index rose to 96.5 from 95.5. Consumers' assessment of the present situation was mixed. Those rating business conditions as "good" increased from 16.7 percent to 18.2 percent. However, those rating conditions as "bad" also increased, from 21.8 percent to 23.3 percent. Consumers reporting jobs were plentiful declined to 15.9 percent, down from 17.4 percent. Those claiming jobs are hard to get climbed to 25.5 percent, up from 23.8 percent last month.


Continue reading your article
with a WhatTheyThink membership.

WhatTheyThink Annual Membership

Less than $4/week.

Get unlimited access to in-depth commentary and analysis covering the latest trends, emerging technologies, operational strategies, and key events across every segment of today's printing industry.

Stay informed. Stay competitive. Stay ahead.
WhatTheyThink Day Pass

$5 for 24 hours

Unlimited access to all of WhatTheyThink. Get your Day Pass

Already a member?
Sign In

About WhatTheyThink

WhatTheyThink is the global printing industry's go-to information source with both print and digital offerings, including WhatTheyThink.com, WhatTheyThink Email Newsletters, and the WhatTheyThink magazine. Our mission is to inform, educate, and inspire the industry. We provide cogent news and analysis about trends, technologies, operations, and events in all the markets that comprise today's printing and sign industries including commercial, in-plant, mailing, finishing, sign, display, textile, industrial, finishing, labels, packaging, marketing technology, software and workflow.

Recent Articles from WhatTheyThink

Print ERP Built Natively Inside Microsoft Dynamics 365

Print ERP Built Natively Inside Microsoft Dynamics 365

No third-party integrations. No disconnected systems. DynamicsPrint® extends Microsoft Dynamics 365 F&SCM with print-specific ERP designed to scale globally with your business. Read More

Around the Web: Of Moons and Mother Roads

Around the Web: Of Moons and Mother Roads

The 1835 “Moon Hoax” made ridiculous news stories credible. The USPS is issuing the 2026 Route 66 Centennial Stamp Collection. Highlights from the recent Sustainable Brands Conference. Researchers have created what might be the most accurate mathematical representation of color perception ever. When in North Dakota, visit the Theodore Roosevelt Presidential Library, which opens tomorrow, July 4. An Etsy gardening scam features AI-generated plant images and fake seeds.  Good grief: corneal tattooing is a thing. Graphene radar-absorbing coatings for defense use. If you missed Monday’s Strawberry Moon, more moons are coming. Answering the burning question: “do bug zappers still exist?” Turn any water bottle into a water vessel for dogs. Is there any advantage to “alkaline water”? Welcome to WhatTheyThink’s weekly miscellany. Read More

Graphic Arts Employment in May Up Overall—Substantially Among Non-Production

Graphic Arts Employment in May Up Overall—Substantially Among Non-Production

After a sluggish four months, the employment situation picked up in May, with overall printing industry employment up 1.0% from April, production employment up 0.3%, and non-production employment up 2.5%. Read More

Explore Mohawk's new paper options for all your digital printing needs

Explore Mohawk's new paper options for all your digital printing needs

Digital printing is the answer to the agility of modern work?ow. Mohawk Digital offers a diverse collection of fine and production papers for Inkjet, Dry Toner and HP Indigo presses. Read More

Around the Web: Of Botticelli and Beef

Around the Web: Of Botticelli and Beef

Newspaper Club has partnered with type foundry abcD8 to create a custom typeface inspired by the visual history of newspapers. MAD magazine has published its 600th issue. “Wordhord: Old English Word of the Day.” New evidence for the cause of death of the model for Botticelli’s “Birth of Venus.” Attending a Zoom meeting while on a roller coaster. Graphene-enabled PFAS-free firefighting foam. A jacket that can harvest moisture from the atmosphere. The iPhone’s Vehicle Motion Cues are surprisingly effective at reducing car sickness. An e-bike designed specifically to carry children. “Do fitness trackers still work if you have tattoos?” Rouser Lab’s “Earth’s black box” attempts to track humanity’s spiral into environmental destruction. “Beef tea” was a thing in the 19th century. Welcome to WhatTheyThink’s weekly miscellany. Read More