WhatTheyThink

Premium Commentary & Analysis

August Summary of Leading Indicators

Going into August,

Wednesday, August 14, 2002

Going into August, here is your monthly summary of key industry indicators. - The Printer Confidence Index - for the first time since January 2002, more than half of the print providers indicated their local market conditions are starting or continuing to decline. - Print customers’ outlook continued to decline in July, but only modestly after being down substantially in June. - The PIB Advertising Index showed total magazine advertising revenue for the month of July increased 8.6% compared to July of last year, closing at $1,129,948,932. - The Purchasing Managers Index stated that economic activity in the manufacturing sector grew for the sixth consecutive month in July. The overall economy grew for the ninth consecutive month. - The Print Employment Index, based on data from the U.S. Department of Labor showed a rise in employment for the printing segment. Total jobs in the sector for July was 1,407,000 versus 1,402,000 in June. - The Consumer Confidence Index which declined in June -- tumbled further in July. The Index now stands at 97.1 (1985=100), down sharply from 106.3 last month. Printer Confidence Index: In July, for the first time since January 2002, more than half of the print providers (52.8%) indicated their local market conditions are starting or continuing to decline. The research suggests that the steady improvement throughout the spring in overall market sentiment has given way to negative conditions for the summer. Readers should note there has been a steady increase in negative market sentiment since April when only 35.2% of print providers cited declining market conditions. Print Buyer Pulse Index: Print customers’ outlook continued to decline in July, but only modestly. 29.7% of print customers expect print spending to increase over the next 6 months, the lowest percentage expecting an increase since January of this year. There was also a slight increase in the percentage of print customers expecting print spending to decline over the next 6 months, the highest level in the last four months. PIB Advertising Index: Total magazine advertising revenue for the month of July increased 8.6% compared to July of last year, closing at $1,129,948,932, according to Publishers Information Bureau (PIB). Ad pages for July totaled 15,125, up 0.5 % from last year. Year-to-date, advertising revenue closed at $8,832,741,748, a decrease of 0.3%, and ad pages were 120,607, down 8.6% over the same time period last year. Purchasing Managers Index: Economic activity in the manufacturing sector grew for the sixth consecutive month in July. The overall economy grew for the ninth consecutive month, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business. July was only slightly better than June. The PMI declined, but still indicated growth as 12 industries reported improvement in July. The decline in the PMI was primarily driven by a weak showing in July's new orders, which may be due to a pause in inventory replenishment. Print Employment Index: Both the unemployment rate, 5.9 percent, and total nonfarm payroll employment, 130.8 million, were unchanged in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. A gain in payroll employment in services was partially offset by a decline in construction. Job losses continued to moderate in manufacturing, but the factory workweek fell. There was a rise in employment for the printing segment. Total jobs in the sector for July was 1,407,000 versus 1,402,000 in June. Consumer Confidence Index: Consumers' expectations for the next six months have soured. Those expecting business conditions to deteriorate increased from 7.1 percent to 9.2 percent. Those anticipating an improvement in the months ahead fell from 23.7 percent to 20.9 percent. Consumer confidence is now at its lowest level since February of this year. And while the current reading is not alarming by historical standards, a continued slide could very well jeopardize the economic recovery.


Continue reading your article
with a WhatTheyThink membership.

WhatTheyThink Annual Membership

Less than $4/week.

Get unlimited access to in-depth commentary and analysis covering the latest trends, emerging technologies, operational strategies, and key events across every segment of today's printing industry.

Stay informed. Stay competitive. Stay ahead.
WhatTheyThink Day Pass

$5 for 24 hours

Unlimited access to all of WhatTheyThink. Get your Day Pass

Already a member?
Sign In

About WhatTheyThink

WhatTheyThink is the global printing industry's go-to information source with both print and digital offerings, including WhatTheyThink.com, WhatTheyThink Email Newsletters, and the WhatTheyThink magazine. Our mission is to inform, educate, and inspire the industry. We provide cogent news and analysis about trends, technologies, operations, and events in all the markets that comprise today's printing and sign industries including commercial, in-plant, mailing, finishing, sign, display, textile, industrial, finishing, labels, packaging, marketing technology, software and workflow.

Recent Articles from WhatTheyThink

Print ERP Built Natively Inside Microsoft Dynamics 365

Print ERP Built Natively Inside Microsoft Dynamics 365

No third-party integrations. No disconnected systems. DynamicsPrint® extends Microsoft Dynamics 365 F&SCM with print-specific ERP designed to scale globally with your business. Read More

Around the Web: Of Moons and Mother Roads

Around the Web: Of Moons and Mother Roads

The 1835 “Moon Hoax” made ridiculous news stories credible. The USPS is issuing the 2026 Route 66 Centennial Stamp Collection. Highlights from the recent Sustainable Brands Conference. Researchers have created what might be the most accurate mathematical representation of color perception ever. When in North Dakota, visit the Theodore Roosevelt Presidential Library, which opens tomorrow, July 4. An Etsy gardening scam features AI-generated plant images and fake seeds.  Good grief: corneal tattooing is a thing. Graphene radar-absorbing coatings for defense use. If you missed Monday’s Strawberry Moon, more moons are coming. Answering the burning question: “do bug zappers still exist?” Turn any water bottle into a water vessel for dogs. Is there any advantage to “alkaline water”? Welcome to WhatTheyThink’s weekly miscellany. Read More

Graphic Arts Employment in May Up Overall—Substantially Among Non-Production

Graphic Arts Employment in May Up Overall—Substantially Among Non-Production

After a sluggish four months, the employment situation picked up in May, with overall printing industry employment up 1.0% from April, production employment up 0.3%, and non-production employment up 2.5%. Read More

Explore Mohawk's new paper options for all your digital printing needs

Explore Mohawk's new paper options for all your digital printing needs

Digital printing is the answer to the agility of modern work?ow. Mohawk Digital offers a diverse collection of fine and production papers for Inkjet, Dry Toner and HP Indigo presses. Read More

Around the Web: Of Botticelli and Beef

Around the Web: Of Botticelli and Beef

Newspaper Club has partnered with type foundry abcD8 to create a custom typeface inspired by the visual history of newspapers. MAD magazine has published its 600th issue. “Wordhord: Old English Word of the Day.” New evidence for the cause of death of the model for Botticelli’s “Birth of Venus.” Attending a Zoom meeting while on a roller coaster. Graphene-enabled PFAS-free firefighting foam. A jacket that can harvest moisture from the atmosphere. The iPhone’s Vehicle Motion Cues are surprisingly effective at reducing car sickness. An e-bike designed specifically to carry children. “Do fitness trackers still work if you have tattoos?” Rouser Lab’s “Earth’s black box” attempts to track humanity’s spiral into environmental destruction. “Beef tea” was a thing in the 19th century. Welcome to WhatTheyThink’s weekly miscellany. Read More